Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.581095e-05 0.000053 0.000062 0.000071 0.000081 0.000092 0.000105
2025-01-12 3.452836e-05 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000084 0.000102 0.000123
2025-01-19 2.631674e-05 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000137
2025-01-26 2.079359e-05 0.000032 0.000045 0.000064 0.000087 0.000115 0.000150
2025-02-02 1.794045e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000065 0.000093 0.000126 0.000170
2025-02-09 1.500590e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000095 0.000134 0.000185
2025-02-16 1.383110e-05 0.000026 0.000043 0.000068 0.000103 0.000148 0.000208
2025-02-23 1.166079e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000068 0.000105 0.000154 0.000221
2025-03-02 9.337221e-06 0.000020 0.000038 0.000065 0.000104 0.000157 0.000229
2025-03-09 7.699157e-06 0.000018 0.000035 0.000063 0.000105 0.000161 0.000240
2025-03-16 6.380941e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000062 0.000105 0.000165 0.000251
2025-03-23 5.353688e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000061 0.000107 0.000170 0.000262
2025-03-30 4.337627e-06 0.000013 0.000030 0.000061 0.000109 0.000177 0.000278
2025-04-06 3.344365e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000059 0.000109 0.000181 0.000290
2025-04-13 2.445726e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000056 0.000107 0.000183 0.000298
2025-04-20 1.825111e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000054 0.000107 0.000187 0.000309
2025-04-27 1.559578e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000112 0.000198 0.000332
2025-05-04 1.222897e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000055 0.000114 0.000205 0.000347
2025-05-11 1.137990e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000059 0.000122 0.000221 0.000377
2025-05-18 8.734740e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000058 0.000123 0.000227 0.000392
2025-05-25 5.910910e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000121 0.000228 0.000399
2025-06-01 4.151750e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000054 0.000121 0.000232 0.000410
2025-06-08 2.880034e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000053 0.000122 0.000236 0.000423